Tretyakov P. D., Ponomarev E. I. Wildfires of the Arctic Zone of Siberia under the Conditions of Climatic Changes of the XX – Early XXI Centuries
1 V. N. Sukachev Inst. For., Rus. Acad. Sci., Sib. Br.
Fed. Res. Center Krasnoyarsk Sci. Center, Rus. Acad. Sci., Sib. Br.
Akademgorodok, 50/28, Krasnoyarsk, 660036 Russian Federation
Prospekt Svobodny, 79, Krasnoyarsk, 660041 Russian Federation
E-mail: ptretyakov99@mail.ru, evg@ksc.krasn.ru
Abstract
UDC 630.181
How to cite: Tretyakov P. D.1, 2, Ponomarev E. I.1, 2 Wildfires of the Arctic zone of Siberia under the conditions of climatic changes of the XX – early XXI centuries // Sibirskij Lesnoj Zurnal (Sib. J. For. Sci.). 2023. N. 6. P. 17–31 (in Russian with English abstract and references).
DOI: 10.15372/SJFS20230603
EDN: …
© Tretyakov P. D., Ponomarev E. I., 2023
The dynamics of vegetation fires on the territory of the Arctic zone of Siberia (64–74°N, 60–150°E) was studied under the conditions of observed climatic changes at the turn of the XX – beginning of the XXI centuries. In the study area, four sectors with an interval of 20° were considered on the longitude gradient, so that the longitude boundaries for each sector coincided with the boundaries of the basins of the large rivers Ob, Yenisei (with Khatanga), Lena, Yana, Indigirka, and Kolyma. As the initial data, the V. N. Sukachev Institute of Forest, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences fire bank was used, collected from satellite monitoring materials in 1996-2022, as well as materials of reanalysis of meteorological information on the territory of Siberia from open catalogs for more than 100-year observation interval 1900-2022. The paper analyzes the spatio-temporal variation of the main meteorological characteristics, including air temperature, precipitation, lightning activity with details on the longitude gradient. Additionally, the trends of changes in the level of heat and moisture supply and the duration of the fire-hazardous period have been restored. Geospatial interpolation was performed by means of geoinformation systems (GIS). The trends of meteorological indicators as factors determining the frequency of fires and the predicted level of burning in the region in the near future are quantitatively described. The characteristic growth rates of the considered meteorological characteristics in relation to each sector are revealed. Qualitatively and quantitatively, the level of connection between the burning of the Siberian Arctic in the period 1996–2022 has been established. depending on the off-season variations of heat and moisture availability. The measure of the relative anomalies of the main meteorological factors in the time interval 2000–2022 in comparison with the average statistical norms of the 100-year period and the relative rate of their change in the modern climate are revealed.
Article
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